Linfield FC 2-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.1
Over 2.5
39%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 32% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.5
X/1
19%
3.49
X/2
9%
14.9
X/X
12%
6.58
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
8%
12.0
2/X
10%
20.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
67%
-16.3pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.7pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
44%
+17.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
56%
-17.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.73/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.98
-20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ballymena United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
24.02.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
03.02.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRK
25.11.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
18.08.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
21.01.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC got the better of Ballymena United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Linfield FC and 0.00 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Linfield FC 2-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 51%, draw 27%, Ballymena United 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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