Cliftonville 1-0 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
7.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
22%
4.08
X/2
10%
9.99
X/X
11%
6.17
2/1
7%
20.4
2/2
17%
6.98
2/X
5%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
2.76/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.16
+49% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
24.02.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
02.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
07.11.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KILK
07.10.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 5-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
18.03.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-2 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
12.11.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville nicked a narrow win over Dungannon Swifts 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cliftonville and 1.17 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts?

Cliftonville 1-0 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 46%, draw 23%, Dungannon Swifts 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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