Loughgall FC 2-2 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.05
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 32% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.74
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
17%
4.69
X/2
13%
7.0
X/X
9%
5.3
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
15%
4.78
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.8pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.9pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.54/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/2.03
+72% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Portadown FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KILK
26.12.2019 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC and Portadown FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Loughgall FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portadown FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Loughgall FC and 2.00 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Portadown FC?

Loughgall FC 2-2 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 45%, draw 20%, Portadown FC 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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