Glenavon FC 0-3 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
20.0
1/X
5%
17.15
X/1
11%
12.65
X/2
11%
3.83
X/X
12%
6.94
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.78
2/X
5%
16.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.0 — our 13% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-8.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 69%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.22/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.74
+21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +21%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
16.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
14.01.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-6 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
12.11.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
18.10.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC swept aside Glenavon FC 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Glenavon FC and 3.17 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Linfield FC?

Glenavon FC 0-3 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 22%, draw 22%, Linfield FC 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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