Portadown FC 1-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

Portadown FC
1-1 HT 0-0
Dungannon Swifts
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
7%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.5
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
4%
13.1
X/1
10%
5.27
X/2
13%
5.99
X/X
17%
4.38
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.23
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portadown FC v Dungannon Swifts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.11/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.20
-21% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
13.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
22.04.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
24.02.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
02.01.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
04.10.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC and Dungannon Swifts couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portadown FC and 1.50 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Portadown FC 1-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 34%, draw 30%, Dungannon Swifts 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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