Larne FC 1-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
13%
4.94
X/2
17%
6.17
X/X
15%
4.01
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
14%
4.75
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.59/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.32
+18% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
01.09.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 5-0 HT 3-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
17.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
19.08.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC and Coleraine FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Larne FC and 0.33 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Coleraine FC?

Larne FC 1-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 33%, draw 29%, Coleraine FC 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Coleraine FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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