Linfield FC 1-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.55
X/1
19%
3.37
X/2
7%
17.5
X/X
7%
6.87
2/1
10%
24.3
2/2
9%
14.65
2/X
6%
23.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-11.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
2.74/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.18
+18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
334 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Glenavon FC
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
10.02.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
16.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
14.01.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-6 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
12.11.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC edged past Glenavon FC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Linfield FC and 1.00 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Glenavon FC?

Linfield FC 1-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 59%, draw 20%, Glenavon FC 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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