Loughgall FC 2-3 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
12%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.02
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
9%
6.65
X/2
11%
4.65
X/X
17%
4.44
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.04
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.83/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.80
+47% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +65%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ballymena United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 4-1 HT 3-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
06.04.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
27.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
04.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 5-2 HT 3-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
16.09.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-3 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
08.01.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United squeezed past Loughgall FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ballymena United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Loughgall FC and 2.00 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Ballymena United?

Loughgall FC 2-3 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 29%, draw 29%, Ballymena United 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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