Portadown FC 1-0 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.06
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
15%
4.88
X/2
9%
6.65
X/X
12%
4.67
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
14%
4.73
2/X
11%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.30/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.37
-12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
07.11.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KILK
18.03.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
22.10.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
23.08.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
25.01.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC edged past Crusaders FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portadown FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portadown FC and 1.67 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Crusaders FC?

Portadown FC 1-0 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 42%, draw 30%, Crusaders FC 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portadown FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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