Crusaders FC 2-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.57
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.85
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
8%
6.33
X/2
8%
4.96
X/X
11%
4.18
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
27%
3.34
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.29/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.97
+4% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Larne FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
07.01.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
19.10.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
06.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
12.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC and Larne FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.50 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Larne FC?

Crusaders FC 2-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 31%, draw 28%, Larne FC 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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