Larne FC 0-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
3.8
6+ Goals
7%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 32% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.9
X/1
18%
3.92
X/2 EV+ ✗
12%
9.2
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
5%
24.7
2/2
10%
7.89
2/X
8%
17.55
Value flag · X/2 at 9.2 — our 12% vs market 7.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.73/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.21
-2% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
19.10.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
06.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
12.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
06.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC squeezed past Larne FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Larne FC and 0.67 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Crusaders FC?

Larne FC 0-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 45%, draw 27%, Crusaders FC 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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