Crusaders FC 1-3 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Jan 2025

Crusaders FC
1-3 HT 1-1
Larne FC
📅07/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Crusaders FC vs Larne FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.84
6+ Goals
6%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.42
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
11%
15.2
X/1
10%
6.51
X/2
11%
4.44
X/X
10%
3.84
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
25%
3.18
2/X
6%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crusaders FC v Larne FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.36/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.83
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Crusaders FC vs Larne FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Larne FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
06.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
12.01.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
06.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
14.04.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC beat Crusaders FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.50 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Larne FC?

Crusaders FC 1-3 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 32%, draw 27%, Larne FC 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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