Dungannon Swifts 1-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 27% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.96
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.98
X/2
14%
5.52
X/X
11%
4.81
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
14%
3.49
2/X
7%
12.75
Value flag · X/1 at 5.98 — our 20% vs market 12.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 42%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.95/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.33
+58% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.11.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
10.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
16.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
25.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
28.01.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
03.12.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts and Coleraine FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dungannon Swifts at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 2.33 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 42%, draw 24%, Coleraine FC 35%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts)
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