Larne FC 2-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

Larne FC
2-1 HT 2-1
Ballymena United
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Larne FC vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
7%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.15
X/1
21%
3.78
X/2
8%
11.6
X/X
10%
5.49
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
13%
10.1
2/X
8%
19.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Larne FC v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
2.41/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.44
+20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Larne FC vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ballymena United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.09.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
17.02.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
02.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
31.03.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRK
17.03.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC edged past Ballymena United 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Larne FC and 0.50 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Ballymena United?

Larne FC 2-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 48%, draw 25%, Ballymena United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
25 Jan 2025
18:00 Loughgall FC vs Glentoran FC Analysis →
18:00 Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Crusaders FC vs Portadown FC Analysis →
18:15 Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FC Analysis →
20:30 Linfield FC vs Cliftonville Analysis →