Linfield FC 2-1 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
15.55
X/1
13%
3.96
X/2
9%
9.33
X/X
11%
4.79
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
9%
8.03
2/X
5%
17.25
Value flag · 1/X at 15.55 — our 10% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.58/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.71
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
17.09.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
04.05.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRK
27.04.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
20.02.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-3 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
20.10.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC edged past Cliftonville 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Linfield FC and 1.00 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Cliftonville?

Linfield FC 2-1 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 50%, draw 26%, Cliftonville 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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