Crusaders FC 3-2 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
15.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 24% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.4
1/2
10%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
10%
5.21
X/2
12%
6.08
X/X
11%
4.47
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.31
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.33/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.02
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
21.09.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
07.11.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KILK
18.03.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
22.10.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
23.08.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC squeezed past Portadown FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Crusaders FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.50 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Portadown FC?

Crusaders FC 3-2 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 35%, draw 27%, Portadown FC 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portadown FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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