Glenavon FC 2-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
7%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.71
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
11%
4.55
X/2
10%
7.41
X/X
16%
4.62
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
13%
5.72
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.76/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.84
+10% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
10.08.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
13.01.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
28.10.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
16.09.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC edged past Carrick Rangers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Glenavon FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.17 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Glenavon FC 2-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 42%, draw 30%, Carrick Rangers 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glenavon FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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