Loughgall FC 0-2 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
7%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.62
1/2
5%
24.7
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
8%
7.42
X/2 EV+ ✗
24%
4.62
X/X
15%
4.68
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
13%
2.71
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · X/2 at 4.62 — our 24% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.2pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +0%
1.35/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.22
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Glenavon FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
07.09.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
13.04.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
23.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
18.11.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
25.08.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC got the better of Loughgall FC 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Glenavon FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.33 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Glenavon FC?

Loughgall FC 0-2 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 29%, draw 29%, Glenavon FC 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glenavon FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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