Carrick Rangers 1-0 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.22
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.88
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
6.92
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
7%
16.6
X/1
3%
7.76
X/2
14%
4.09
X/X
17%
3.95
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.65
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 53%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.33/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.77
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +60%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Larne FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
26.12.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
26.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
20.10.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
22.09.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-1 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
25.02.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers nicked a narrow win over Larne FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Carrick Rangers and 2.17 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC?

Carrick Rangers 1-0 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 28%, draw 30%, Larne FC 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
4 Mar 2025
22:45 Glentoran FC vs Ballymena United Analysis →
22:45 Loughgall FC vs Glenavon FC Analysis →