Glentoran FC 1-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
7%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 33% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.85
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.65
X/1
25%
3.73
X/2
7%
12.3
X/X
14%
5.49
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
9%
10.95
2/X
6%
20.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
2.04/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.55
+4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
07.01.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRLK
07.01.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRLK
14.09.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
18.11.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 5-0 HT 4-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
25.08.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC nicked a narrow win over Ballymena United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.67 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Ballymena United?

Glentoran FC 1-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 51%, draw 25%, Ballymena United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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