Ballymena United 1-1 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.67
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.91
6+ Goals
11%
18.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.91 — our 24% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.07
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
1/X
5%
17.55
X/1
8%
9.28
X/2
19%
3.91
X/X
14%
4.77
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.21
2/X
6%
15.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 59%
+15% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.44/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.78
+33% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
194 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRLK
07.01.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRLK
14.09.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
18.11.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 5-0 HT 4-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
25.08.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
14.03.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United and Glentoran FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ballymena United and 1.67 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Glentoran FC?

Ballymena United 1-1 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 21%, draw 26%, Glentoran FC 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Glentoran FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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