Larne FC 1-1 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.94
6+ Goals
7%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 35% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.9
X/1
13%
3.95
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
8.54
X/X
15%
4.77
2/1
5%
25.0
2/2
9%
7.36
2/X
9%
17.3
Value flag · X/2 at 8.54 — our 14% vs market 8.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-14.1pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.61/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.67
-10% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Glenavon FC
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
16.03.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 6-1 HT 5-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
03.02.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRK
08.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
30.09.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-4 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
10.02.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC and Glenavon FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Larne FC and 0.33 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Glenavon FC?

Larne FC 1-1 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 39%, draw 33%, Glenavon FC 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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