Glenavon FC 0-0 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
52%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
7%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 34% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.26
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
10%
17.95
X/1
11%
11.05
X/2
23%
3.6
X/X
10%
5.24
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.99
2/X
7%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 64%
+9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.14/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.63
+15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +45%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
193 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Larne FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 6-1 HT 5-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
03.02.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRK
08.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
30.09.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-4 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
10.02.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
02.12.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC and Larne FC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Glenavon FC and 3.83 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Larne FC?

Glenavon FC 0-0 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 22%, draw 26%, Larne FC 52%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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