Carrick Rangers 1-4 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Sep 2024

Carrick Rangers
1-4 HT 0-2
Ballymena United
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.4
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
18%
5.19
X/2
15%
5.82
X/X
7%
4.77
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
17%
3.99
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carrick Rangers v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -17%
1.28/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.32
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
15.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
09.09.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
29.04.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
14.02.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.01.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRK
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United ran out comfortable winners over Carrick Rangers 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ballymena United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carrick Rangers and 0.67 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?

Carrick Rangers 1-4 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 34%, draw 27%, Ballymena United 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
17 Sep 2024
21:45 Cliftonville vs Linfield FC Analysis →
21:45 Glenavon FC vs Larne FC Analysis →
21:45 Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC Analysis →
21:45 Portadown FC vs Coleraine FC Analysis →
21:45 Glentoran FC vs Loughgall FC Analysis →