Glentoran FC 2-0 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 25% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.6
X/1
11%
3.48
X/2
8%
15.6
X/X
6%
7.33
2/1
6%
21.3
2/2
10%
12.05
2/X
7%
20.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
69%
-12.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.91/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.49
+19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
433 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Loughgall FC
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 6-0 HT 4-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
01.11.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KILK
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC saw off Loughgall FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.75 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Loughgall FC?

Glentoran FC 2-0 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 56%, draw 21%, Loughgall FC 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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