Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 33% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.7
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
7%
6.51
X/2
14%
4.72
X/X
15%
4.68
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.0
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.33/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.09
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Crusaders FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
21.10.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.02.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
29.10.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
13.08.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 5-1 HT 2-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts edged past Crusaders FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 3.00 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 30%, draw 29%, Crusaders FC 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crusaders FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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