Portadown FC 2-2 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.19
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.0
X/1
13%
7.38
X/2
15%
4.49
X/X
13%
5.3
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.61
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 1/X at 14.0 — our 11% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.2pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.9pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 52%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -27%
1.22/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.76
-6% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Coleraine FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-1 HT 3-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
29.10.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
20.08.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
19.03.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
05.02.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRK
15.01.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC and Coleraine FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Portadown FC and 2.00 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Coleraine FC?

Portadown FC 2-2 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 30%, draw 30%, Coleraine FC 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Coleraine FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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