Portadown FC 1-0 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
6%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.91
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.25
X/1
14%
4.46
X/2
15%
6.92
X/X
24%
4.14
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
6%
5.67
2/X
5%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.0pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.23/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.95
-16% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
07.09.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
06.01.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRK
15.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
04.03.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
19.11.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC edged past Carrick Rangers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portadown FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Portadown FC and 1.33 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Portadown FC 1-0 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 41%, draw 34%, Carrick Rangers 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portadown FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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