Glenavon FC 0-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.38
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
15%
6.12
X/2
17%
5.07
X/X
9%
4.62
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.3
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.62/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.13
+26% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 3-3 HT 0-2 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
24.08.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
27.01.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KILK
02.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.10.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC edged past Glenavon FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Coleraine FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.83 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Coleraine FC?

Glenavon FC 0-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 36%, draw 24%, Coleraine FC 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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