Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.5
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
20%
4.21
X/2
7%
9.33
X/X
12%
5.47
2/1
6%
22.1
2/2
12%
7.29
2/X
10%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.3pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 24%
+16% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
2.49/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.76
+50% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
377 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
27.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
13.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
28.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
30.09.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United ran out comfortable winners over Dungannon Swifts 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dungannon Swifts at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 0.67 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?

Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 45%, draw 30%, Ballymena United 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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