Ballymena United 0-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
11%
5.07
X/2
14%
5.99
X/X
12%
4.25
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
17%
4.39
2/X
4%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.0pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.16/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.46
-21% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
27.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
13.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
28.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
30.09.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
15.04.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts squeezed past Ballymena United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dungannon Swifts found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballymena United and 1.50 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts?

Ballymena United 0-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 39%, draw 25%, Dungannon Swifts 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ballymena United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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