Loughgall FC 0-1 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
57%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.28
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
7%
18.95
X/1
8%
10.8
X/2
23%
3.8
X/X
11%
5.5
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.97
2/X
6%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
57%
Away Win
60%
-2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 64%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.13/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.70
+4% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +33%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
185 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Larne FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
24.09.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
09.02.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
22.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
26.09.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
18.08.2015 Larne FC Larne FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRLK
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC edged past Loughgall FC 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Loughgall FC and 2.00 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Larne FC?

Loughgall FC 0-1 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 19%, draw 24%, Larne FC 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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