Loughgall FC 1-4 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Feb 2025

Loughgall FC
1-4 HT 1-2
Larne FC
📅26/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Loughgall FC vs Larne FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.78
Over 2.5
60%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 27% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.55
1/2
4%
23.85
1/X
4%
17.85
X/1
9%
8.85
X/2
22%
3.89
X/X
12%
5.12
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.23
2/X
4%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
52%
-12.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
48%
+12.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Loughgall FC v Larne FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 59%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.28/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.69
+16% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +69%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
187 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Loughgall FC vs Larne FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Larne FC
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
09.02.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
22.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
26.09.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
18.08.2015 Larne FC Larne FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRLK
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC ran out comfortable winners over Loughgall FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.60 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Larne FC?

Loughgall FC 1-4 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 29%, draw 20%, Larne FC 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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