Glenavon FC 3-3 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.8
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
13%
6.54
X/2
11%
4.77
X/X
10%
4.57
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
3.08
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.12/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.09
-10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
27.01.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-3 HT 1-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KILK
02.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.10.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
18.03.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC and Coleraine FC couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Coleraine FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.50 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Coleraine FC?

Glenavon FC 3-3 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 29%, draw 25%, Coleraine FC 46%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
30 Nov 2024
18:00 Linfield FC vs Portadown FC Analysis →
18:00 Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts Analysis →
18:00 Loughgall FC vs Glentoran FC Analysis →