Ballymena United 1-2 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
15%
4.35
X/2
12%
7.24
X/X
14%
4.78
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
9%
5.53
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.39/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.93
-17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-4 HT 0-2 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
13.04.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
15.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
09.09.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
29.04.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
14.02.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers squeezed past Ballymena United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ballymena United and 1.00 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

Ballymena United 1-2 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 48%, draw 26%, Carrick Rangers 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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