Linfield FC 2-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
27%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.29
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
9.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 27% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.56
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.55
X/1
22%
3.43
X/2
9%
18.7
X/X
8%
7.36
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
9%
15.2
2/X
6%
23.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
72%
-19.8pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
10%
+16.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
2.76/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.37
+19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Portadown FC
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
10.03.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
28.01.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-6 HT 1-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
05.11.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
14.08.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
19.02.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC edged past Portadown FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Linfield FC and 0.67 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Portadown FC?

Linfield FC 2-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 52%, draw 21%, Portadown FC 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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