Crusaders FC 2-2 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 31% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.75
X/1
21%
4.23
X/2
11%
7.79
X/X
13%
5.25
2/1
6%
23.4
2/2
11%
5.82
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -25%
1.68/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.71
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
10.02.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
21.10.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.02.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
29.10.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC and Dungannon Swifts couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.67 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Crusaders FC 2-2 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 47%, draw 26%, Dungannon Swifts 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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