Portadown FC 2-2 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
9.57
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
53%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
22%
2.76
6+ Goals
9%
7.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.99 — our 29% vs market 15.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
18.75
1/2
11%
23.15
1/X
6%
26.5
X/1
9%
24.0
X/2
18%
3.36
X/X
13%
8.79
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.41
2/X
7%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
8%
+14.1pp
25%
Draw
16%
+9.6pp
53%
Away Win
77%
-23.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 81%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
0.82/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.44
+8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +31%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
193 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 541 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
28.01.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-6 HT 1-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
05.11.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
14.08.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
19.02.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
06.11.2021 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC and Linfield FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Linfield FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Portadown FC and 2.83 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Linfield FC?

Portadown FC 2-2 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 22%, draw 25%, Linfield FC 53%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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