Linfield FC 0-1 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.89
6+ Goals
13%
17.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.89 — our 25% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.8
X/1
23%
3.86
X/2
8%
9.37
X/X
13%
4.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.0
2/2
11%
7.68
2/X
5%
16.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Glentoran FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
04.10.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
06.04.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
29.03.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRK
26.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
01.12.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC squeezed past Linfield FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Linfield FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Linfield FC and 1.50 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Glentoran FC?

Linfield FC 0-1 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - League Cup on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 49%, draw 26%, Glentoran FC 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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