Crusaders FC 4-2 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
13.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.6
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
22%
4.38
X/2
10%
7.81
X/X
14%
4.87
2/1
5%
24.7
2/2
13%
5.83
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
17.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
10.02.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
21.10.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
11.02.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC got the better of Dungannon Swifts 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.00 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Crusaders FC 4-2 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - League Cup on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 41%, draw 28%, Dungannon Swifts 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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