ND Primorje 2-0 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
9.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.65/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.61
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Aluminij
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.11.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 0-0 HT 0-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
14.09.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 4-1 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
2-0
AWAY Aluminij
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje got the better of Aluminij 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; ND Primorje found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ND Primorje had 52% of the ball to Aluminij's 48%, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, ND Primorje had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for ND Primorje and 0.50 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Aluminij?

ND Primorje 2-0 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 36%, draw 25%, Aluminij 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aluminij), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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