Kanchanaburi 1-0 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+3.1pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanchanaburi EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -7%
1.40/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.49
+7% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
18.3 Crosses 16.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanchanaburi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
311 Passes 272
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2025 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-1 HT 0-0 Kanchanaburi Kanchanaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanchanaburi
1-0
AWAY Sukhothai
0.91 xG 0.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 345
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kanchanaburi vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanchanaburi nicked a narrow win over Sukhothai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kanchanaburi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kanchanaburi had 42% of the ball to Sukhothai's 58%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.91 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Kanchanaburi vs Sukhothai?

Kanchanaburi 1-0 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanchanaburi vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanchanaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kanchanaburi 54%, draw 18%, Sukhothai 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanchanaburi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanchanaburi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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