Ratchaburi 1-2 Ayutthaya United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayutthaya United EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.63/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.59
+2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / +84%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 75%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.1 Crosses 17.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ayutthaya United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 2.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 24
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 12
426 Passes 259
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Ayutthaya United Ayutthaya United 1-3 HT 0-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
1-2
AWAY Ayutthaya United
1.30 xG 1.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
405 Passes 216
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Ayutthaya United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayutthaya United squeezed past Ratchaburi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ratchaburi at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 62% of the ball to Ayutthaya United's 38%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.30 to 1.21.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Ayutthaya United?

Ratchaburi 1-2 Ayutthaya United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Ayutthaya United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 56%, draw 26%, Ayutthaya United 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ratchaburi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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