Hacken 4-3 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.98
2-3 Goals
36%
2.07
4-5 Goals
30%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
5.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
10%
4.5
X/2
11%
9.0
X/X
8%
5.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.6
2/2
13%
5.91
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +20%
1.98/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.31
+11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +67%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
23.2 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hacken
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.11 xG 1.47
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
485 Passes 390
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Hacken Hacken 1-1 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇK
12.11.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-1 HT 0-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
15.07.2023 Hacken Hacken 4-2 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
02.03.2019 Hacken Hacken 1-0 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇK
26.08.2018 Hacken Hacken 6-0 HT 3-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
09.04.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-0 HT 1-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
4-3
AWAY Brommapojkarna
0.76 xG 2.23
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
538 Passes 409
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hacken vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken edged past Brommapojkarna 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hacken as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Hacken had 55% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 45%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.76 to 2.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brommapojkarna.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hacken and 1.17 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Hacken vs Brommapojkarna?

Hacken 4-3 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hacken 47%, draw 23%, Brommapojkarna 30%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hacken), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hacken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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