IFK Varnamo 0-4 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 Apr 2024

IFK Varnamo
0-4 HT 0-2
Malmö FF
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IFK Varnamo vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.59 — our 29% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
15.15
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
6%
21.85
X/1
9%
19.95
X/2
24%
3.54
X/X
9%
7.9
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.49
2/X
10%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.0pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-14.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 72%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
0.77/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.81
-35% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 82%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.2
13.4 Crosses 20.1
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

IFK Varnamo vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 Passes 430
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.07.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-1 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
10.06.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-3 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
09.10.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
21.04.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
05.03.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK
10.11.2019 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-2 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK

IFK Varnamo 0-4 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
0-4
AWAY Malmö FF
0.24 xG 1.61
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 7
338 Passes 691
86% Pass Accuracy 91%
3 Box Touches 35
5 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF ran out comfortable winners over IFK Varnamo 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 34% of the ball to Malmö FF's 66%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.24 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.67 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Malmö FF?

IFK Varnamo 0-4 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 20%, draw 26%, Malmö FF 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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