Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-3
Fiorentina
İTA
6-0
HT 3-0
Genoa
İTA
1-2
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Fiorentina
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina and Genoa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Fiorentina had 59% of the ball to Genoa's 41%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.50 to 1.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Fiorentina and 0.67 for Genoa.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Genoa?
Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Genoa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 44%, draw 26%, Genoa 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina), BTTS No went the other way.