Avellino 1-0 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.14
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.02
+11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Benevento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
10.12.2023 Benevento Benevento 0-1 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
01.05.2017 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
10.12.2016 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 1-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
1-0
AWAY Benevento
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino edged past Benevento 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Avellino had 52% of the ball to Benevento's 48%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avellino and 1.00 for Benevento.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Benevento?

Avellino 1-0 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Avellino 47%, draw 30%, Benevento 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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