Juve Stabia 1-1 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.35
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.14
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.18/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.26
-3% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Crotone
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 2.53
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 11
189 Passes 424
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 1-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
01.02.2023 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-2 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
01.10.2022 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC
15.02.2020 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 3-2 HT 2-2 Crotone Crotone İTB
24.09.2019 Crotone Crotone 2-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
17.05.2014 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-2 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
1-1
AWAY Crotone
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia and Crotone shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Juve Stabia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 63% of the ball to Crotone's 37%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.67 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Crotone?

Juve Stabia 1-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 45%, draw 27%, Crotone 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Juve Stabia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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