Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 Gimnasia Jujuy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
0.82/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.31
-32% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
01.05.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-2 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
07.08.2021 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
29.03.2021 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes and Gimnasia Jujuy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Atletico Guemes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 0.33 for Gimnasia Jujuy.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 Gimnasia Jujuy in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 41%, draw 35%, Gimnasia Jujuy 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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