Defensores De Belgrano 2-3 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
43%
3.04
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
1.45
Over 2.5
23%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.29
No
66%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.3pp
43%
Draw
30%
+13.5pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.2pp
77%
Under 2.5
65%
+12.1pp
23%
Over 2.5
35%
-12.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.6pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
0.93/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.96
-28% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
05.03.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn squeezed past Defensores De Belgrano 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn?

Defensores De Belgrano 2-3 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 37%, draw 43%, Deportivo Madryn 20%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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